SquashLevels calculations
Iker Pajares Bernabeu v Vladislav Titov (Fri 15 Mar 2019)
Match won by Iker Pajares Bernabeu. Result: 11-4,11-2,11-4.
Starting level for
Iker Pajares Bernabeu:
36,579, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Vladislav Titov:
5,733, level confidence: 54%.
Iker Pajares Bernabeu to win as he is currently playing
538% better than Vladislav Titov.
Iker Pajares Bernabeu won all of the games and 77% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 230% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Iker Pajares Bernabeu played
230% better than Vladislav Titov in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Iker Pajares Bernabeu was taking it easy by anything up to 49%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,555 and 36,579 without affecting his level.
In this case, Iker Pajares Bernabeu played at level 18,919 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Vladislav Titov is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 78%, Vladislav Titov: 74%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 56%, Vladislav Titov: 53%.
Final level for Iker Pajares Bernabeu:
36,579, level confidence: 56%.
Final level for Vladislav Titov:
5,733, level confidence: 53%.