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Tarek Momen v Raphael Kandra (Tue 12 Mar 2019)

Match won by Tarek Momen. Result: 12-14,11-4,11-4.

Starting level for Tarek Momen: 60,551, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 43,265, level confidence: 35%.
Tarek Momen to win as he is currently playing 40% better than Raphael Kandra.

Tarek Momen won 67% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 20%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 55% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tarek Momen played 37% better than Raphael Kandra in this match.

In this case, Tarek Momen played at level 59,391 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Raphael Kandra is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tarek Momen: 90%, Raphael Kandra: 59%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tarek Momen: 89%, Raphael Kandra: 59%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tarek Momen: 60,585, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Raphael Kandra: 43,419, level confidence: 59%.