SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Youssef Soliman v Karim Abdel Gawad (Mon 25 Feb 2019)

Match won by Youssef Soliman. Result: 9-11,6-11,11-8,11-8,11-9.

Starting level for Youssef Soliman: 36,929, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Karim Abdel Gawad: 59,661, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Karim Abdel Gawad to win as he is currently playing 62% better than Youssef Soliman.

Youssef Soliman won 60% of the games and 51% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Youssef Soliman played 8% better than Karim Abdel Gawad in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Youssef Soliman actually played at a level of 48,787 and Karim Abdel Gawad at a level of 45,160. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 32% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 24% and 24% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman changes to +23% and Karim Abdel Gawad changes to -24%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman becomes +4.7% and for Karim Abdel Gawad becomes -4.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Youssef Soliman: 87%, Karim Abdel Gawad: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Youssef Soliman: 66%, Karim Abdel Gawad: 64%.

A final adjustment of +1.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Youssef Soliman: 38,642, level confidence: 66%.
Final level for Karim Abdel Gawad: 58,348, level confidence: 64%.