SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tarek Momen v Todd Harrity (Mon 25 Feb 2019)

Match won by Tarek Momen. Result: 11-5,9-11,11-4,11-6.

Starting level for Tarek Momen: 57,330, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Todd Harrity: 35,314, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Tarek Momen to win as he is currently playing 62% better than Todd Harrity.

Tarek Momen won 75% of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tarek Momen played 37% better than Todd Harrity in this match.

As Tarek Momen has played below his allowed range at 49,231, his level reduction is 1.7% before damping. On the assumption that Tarek Momen would normally have been playing at level 53,580 (based on typical behaviour), Todd Harrity played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 5.2%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.3% and 4.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tarek Momen changes to -1.2% and Todd Harrity changes to +4.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tarek Momen becomes -0.4% and for Todd Harrity becomes +1.4%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA World Championship' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tarek Momen: 90%, Todd Harrity: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tarek Momen: 83%, Todd Harrity: 79%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tarek Momen: 56,786, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Todd Harrity: 35,915, level confidence: 79%.