SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Guido Lindner v Youssef Abdallah (Sat 02 Mar 2019)

Match won by Guido Lindner. Result: 9-11,11-3,11-6,6-11,11-8.

Starting level for Guido Lindner: 2,506, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Youssef Abdallah: 10,731, level confidence: 14%.
Youssef Abdallah to win as he is currently playing 328% better than Guido Lindner.

Guido Lindner won 60% of the games and 55% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 23% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Guido Lindner played 13% better than Youssef Abdallah in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Guido Lindner actually played at a level of 5,519 and Youssef Abdallah at a level of 4,873. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 120% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 46% and 46% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Guido Lindner changes to +8.5% and Youssef Abdallah changes to -46%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Guido Lindner becomes +4% and for Youssef Abdallah becomes -10.7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'German Junior Open 2019' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Youssef Abdallah is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Youssef Abdallah has already dropped 11.1% since starting this event at level 11923. The amount a player can drop in a single event is limited to 11.1% so Youssef Abdallah's drop for this match has been limited to 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Guido Lindner: 89%, Youssef Abdallah: 38%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Guido Lindner: 40%, Youssef Abdallah: 17%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Guido Lindner: 2,614, level confidence: 40%.
Final level for Youssef Abdallah: 10,731, level confidence: 17%.