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Patrick Rooney v Dom Hamilton (Wed 27 Feb 2019)

Match won by Patrick Rooney. Result: 11-9,11-0,11-3.

Starting level for Patrick Rooney: 27,496, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Dom Hamilton: 9,644, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Patrick Rooney to win as he is currently playing 185% better than Dom Hamilton.

Patrick Rooney won all of the games and 73% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 175% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Patrick Rooney played 175% better than Dom Hamilton in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Patrick Rooney was taking it easy by anything up to 23%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 15,385 and 27,496 without affecting his level.

In this case, Patrick Rooney played at level 26,521 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Dom Hamilton is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Patrick Rooney: 81%, Dom Hamilton: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Patrick Rooney: 79%, Dom Hamilton: 85%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Patrick Rooney: 27,565, level confidence: 79%.
Final level for Dom Hamilton: 9,668, level confidence: 85%.