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Raphael Kandra v Valentin Rapp (Sun 10 Feb 2019)

Match won by Raphael Kandra. Result: 13-11,11-2,11-6.

Starting level for Raphael Kandra: 41,203, level confidence: 48%.
Starting level for Valentin Rapp: 21,920, level confidence: 90%. Set manually.
Raphael Kandra to win as he is currently playing 88% better than Valentin Rapp.

Raphael Kandra won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 84% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Raphael Kandra played 84% better than Valentin Rapp in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Raphael Kandra was taking it easy by anything up to 10%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 33,083 and 41,203 without affecting his level.

In this case, Raphael Kandra played at level 40,379 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Valentin Rapp is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Raphael Kandra: 70%, Valentin Rapp: 95%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Raphael Kandra: 69%, Valentin Rapp: 94%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Raphael Kandra: 41,226, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Valentin Rapp: 21,932, level confidence: 94%.