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Ramit Tandon v Mohamed Elsherbini (Sat 02 Feb 2019)

Match won by Ramit Tandon. Result: 11-4,11-7,2-11,11-2.

Starting level for Ramit Tandon: 38,603, level confidence: 57%.
Starting level for Mohamed Elsherbini: 33,934, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Ramit Tandon to win as he is currently playing 14% better than Mohamed Elsherbini.

Ramit Tandon won 75% of the games and 59% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 46% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Ramit Tandon played 32% better than Mohamed Elsherbini in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Ramit Tandon actually played at a level of 41,563 and Mohamed Elsherbini at a level of 31,517. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 7.7% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon changes to +7.2% and Mohamed Elsherbini changes to -5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Ramit Tandon becomes +1.9% and for Mohamed Elsherbini becomes -1.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Seattle Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Ramit Tandon: 76%, Mohamed Elsherbini: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Ramit Tandon: 70%, Mohamed Elsherbini: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Ramit Tandon: 39,280, level confidence: 70%.
Final level for Mohamed Elsherbini: 33,538, level confidence: 84%.