SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Zahed Mohamed v Nicolas Mueller (Wed 30 Jan 2019)

Match won by Zahed Mohamed. Result: 3-11,13-11,11-9,8-11,11-5.

Starting level for Zahed Mohamed: 39,916, level confidence: 86%. Set manually.
Starting level for Nicolas Mueller: 38,448, level confidence: 73%. Set manually.
Zahed Mohamed to win as he is currently playing 4% better than Nicolas Mueller.

Zahed Mohamed won 60% of the games and 49% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was worse by around 2% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Zahed Mohamed played 7% better than Nicolas Mueller in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Zahed Mohamed actually played at a level of 40,517 and Nicolas Mueller at a level of 37,878. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 1.5% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Zahed Mohamed changes to +1.3% and Nicolas Mueller changes to -1.5%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Zahed Mohamed becomes +0.5% and for Nicolas Mueller becomes -0.6%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Motor City Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Zahed Mohamed: 93%, Nicolas Mueller: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Zahed Mohamed: 91%, Nicolas Mueller: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Zahed Mohamed: 40,097, level confidence: 91%.
Final level for Nicolas Mueller: 38,337, level confidence: 84%.