SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Mohamed Abouelghar v Todd Harrity (Wed 30 Jan 2019)

Match won by Mohamed Abouelghar. Result: 11-7,11-6,11-13,12-10.

Starting level for Mohamed Abouelghar: 52,587, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Starting level for Todd Harrity: 34,260, level confidence: 58%.
Mohamed Abouelghar to win as he is currently playing 53% better than Todd Harrity.

Mohamed Abouelghar won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 25% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Mohamed Abouelghar played 25% better than Todd Harrity in this match.

As Mohamed Abouelghar has played below his allowed range at 44,940, his level reduction is 4.9% before damping. On the assumption that Mohamed Abouelghar would normally have been playing at level 49,799 (based on typical behaviour), Todd Harrity played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 7.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4% and 6.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Mohamed Abouelghar changes to -2.9% and Todd Harrity changes to +6.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Mohamed Abouelghar becomes -1% and for Todd Harrity becomes +1.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Motor City Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Mohamed Abouelghar: 89%, Todd Harrity: 76%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Mohamed Abouelghar: 80%, Todd Harrity: 68%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Mohamed Abouelghar: 52,001, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Todd Harrity: 34,998, level confidence: 68%.