SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Chris Hanson v Campbell Grayson (Tue 29 Jan 2019)

Match won by Chris Hanson. Result: 11-5,11-7,11-6.

Starting level for Chris Hanson: 30,552, level confidence: 65%.
Starting level for Campbell Grayson: 32,105, level confidence: 67%.
Campbell Grayson to win as he is currently playing 5% better than Chris Hanson.

Chris Hanson won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Chris Hanson played 83% better than Campbell Grayson in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Chris Hanson actually played at a level of 42,406 and Campbell Grayson at a level of 23,131. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 39% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Chris Hanson changes to +38% and Campbell Grayson changes to -36%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Chris Hanson becomes +7.3% and for Campbell Grayson becomes -7%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Motor City Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Apply limits to the amount of change for a single match which are based on player level, level confidence and time since last match so that Chris Hanson is limited to +5.7% and Campbell Grayson is limited to -5% level change. In general a player's level won't go up by more than 10% or drop more than 5% if they've played in the last 7 days but those limits are relaxed if their previous match was further back.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Chris Hanson: 81%, Campbell Grayson: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Chris Hanson: 58%, Campbell Grayson: 59%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Chris Hanson: 32,339, level confidence: 58%.
Final level for Campbell Grayson: 30,616, level confidence: 59%.