SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Peter Billson v Nick Murrills (Sun 09 Dec 2018)

Match won by Peter Billson. Result: 11-5,11-6,11-6.

Starting level for Peter Billson: 16,793, level confidence: 44%.
Starting level for Nick Murrills: 7,515, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Peter Billson to win as he is currently playing 123% better than Nick Murrills.

Peter Billson won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Peter Billson played 94% better than Nick Murrills in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Peter Billson was taking it easy by anything up to 15%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 12,022 and 16,793 without affecting his level.

In this case, Peter Billson played at level 14,588 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Nick Murrills is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Peter Billson: 66%, Nick Murrills: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Peter Billson: 62%, Nick Murrills: 80%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Peter Billson: 16,768, level confidence: 62%.
Final level for Nick Murrills: 7,504, level confidence: 80%.