SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tobias Fritz Weel v Pablo Richet (Sat 03 Nov 2018)

Match won by Tobias Fritz Weel. Result: 8-11,6-11,11-9,11-9,11-7.

Starting level for Tobias Fritz Weel: 5,310, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Starting level for Pablo Richet: 4,122, level confidence: 85%. Set manually.
Tobias Fritz Weel to win as he is currently playing 29% better than Pablo Richet.

Tobias Fritz Weel won 60% of the games and 50% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 0% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tobias Fritz Weel played 8% better than Pablo Richet in this match.

As Tobias Fritz Weel has played below his allowed range at 4,749, his level reduction is 7.2% before damping. On the assumption that Tobias Fritz Weel would normally have been playing at level 5,199 (based on typical behaviour), Pablo Richet played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 8.3%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 6.3% and 7.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tobias Fritz Weel changes to -6.3% and Pablo Richet changes to +7.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tobias Fritz Weel becomes -2.7% and for Pablo Richet becomes +3.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'Belgian Junior Open 2018' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tobias Fritz Weel: 92%, Pablo Richet: 92%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tobias Fritz Weel: 84%, Pablo Richet: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0.9% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tobias Fritz Weel: 5,253, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for Pablo Richet: 4,262, level confidence: 84%.