SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Joel Makin v Wong Chi Him (Tue 20 Nov 2018)

Match won by Joel Makin. Result: 11-7,11-9,11-6.

Starting level for Joel Makin: 50,042, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for Wong Chi Him: 21,743, level confidence: 67%.
Joel Makin to win as he is currently playing 130% better than Wong Chi Him.

Joel Makin won all of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 50% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Joel Makin played 52% better than Wong Chi Him in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Joel Makin was taking it easy by anything up to 16%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 35,123 and 50,042 without affecting his level.

As Joel Makin has played below his allowed range at 34,031, his level reduction is 3.2% before damping. On the assumption that Joel Makin would normally have been playing at level 41,924 (based on typical behaviour), Wong Chi Him played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 13%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 2.1% and 8.2% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Joel Makin changes to -2.1% and Wong Chi Him changes to +6.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Joel Makin becomes -0.8% and for Wong Chi Him becomes +2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Hong Kong Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Joel Makin: 74%, Wong Chi Him: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Joel Makin: 60%, Wong Chi Him: 66%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Joel Makin: 49,494, level confidence: 60%.
Final level for Wong Chi Him: 22,298, level confidence: 66%.