SquashLevels calculations
Sam Levin v Michael McLaughlin (Tue 20 Nov 2018)
Match won by Michael McLaughlin. Result: 5-11,11-9,7-11,9-11.
Starting level for
Sam Levin:
6,213, level confidence: 61%.
Starting level for
Michael McLaughlin:
7,994, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Michael McLaughlin to win as he is currently playing
29% better than Sam Levin.
Michael McLaughlin won 75% of the games and 57% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 31% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Michael McLaughlin played
27% better than Sam Levin in this match.
In this case, Michael McLaughlin played at level 7,894 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Sam Levin is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Michael McLaughlin: 87%, Sam Levin: 78%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Michael McLaughlin: 87%, Sam Levin: 78%.
A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Sam Levin:
6,229, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Michael McLaughlin:
8,014, level confidence: 87%.