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Iker Pajares Bernabeu v Auguste Dussourd (Sat 10 Nov 2018)

Match won by Iker Pajares Bernabeu. Result: 11-4,8-11,11-8,13-11.

Starting level for Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 29,791, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Auguste Dussourd: 23,231, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Iker Pajares Bernabeu to win as he is currently playing 28% better than Auguste Dussourd.

Iker Pajares Bernabeu won 75% of the games and 56% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 26% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Iker Pajares Bernabeu played 25% better than Auguste Dussourd in this match.

In this case, Iker Pajares Bernabeu played at level 29,170 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Auguste Dussourd is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0%.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Iker Pajares Bernabeu changes to 0% and Auguste Dussourd changes to 0%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 76%, Auguste Dussourd: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 75%, Auguste Dussourd: 87%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Iker Pajares Bernabeu: 29,763, level confidence: 75%.
Final level for Auguste Dussourd: 23,352, level confidence: 87%.