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Youssef Soliman v Dimitri Steinmann (Sun 11 Nov 2018)

Match won by Youssef Soliman. Result: 11-5,10-12,11-3,11-9.

Starting level for Youssef Soliman: 32,942, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Starting level for Dimitri Steinmann: 31,857, level confidence: 62%.
Youssef Soliman to win as he is currently playing 3% better than Dimitri Steinmann.

Youssef Soliman won 75% of the games and 60% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 48% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Youssef Soliman played 33% better than Dimitri Steinmann in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Youssef Soliman actually played at a level of 37,315 and Dimitri Steinmann at a level of 28,124. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 13% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman changes to +10% and Dimitri Steinmann changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman becomes +2.5% and for Dimitri Steinmann becomes -3.1%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Swiss Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Youssef Soliman: 90%, Dimitri Steinmann: 79%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Youssef Soliman: 80%, Dimitri Steinmann: 70%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Youssef Soliman: 33,722, level confidence: 80%.
Final level for Dimitri Steinmann: 31,052, level confidence: 70%.