SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Saurav Ghosal v Todd Harrity (Sat 10 Nov 2018)

Match won by Saurav Ghosal. Result: 11-4,11-7,11-3.

Starting level for Saurav Ghosal: 47,085, level confidence: 74%. Set manually.
Starting level for Todd Harrity: 33,001, level confidence: 81%. Set manually.
Saurav Ghosal to win as he is currently playing 43% better than Todd Harrity.

Saurav Ghosal won all of the games and 70% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 136% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Saurav Ghosal played 136% better than Todd Harrity in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Saurav Ghosal actually played at a level of 60,520 and Todd Harrity at a level of 25,675. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 29% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 23% and 23% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Saurav Ghosal changes to +23% and Todd Harrity changes to -21%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Saurav Ghosal becomes +4.6% and for Todd Harrity becomes -4.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Kolkata International' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Saurav Ghosal: 86%, Todd Harrity: 90%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Saurav Ghosal: 67%, Todd Harrity: 70%.

A final adjustment of +0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Saurav Ghosal: 48,861, level confidence: 67%.
Final level for Todd Harrity: 31,878, level confidence: 70%.