SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Youssef Soliman v Cédric Kuchen (Thu 08 Nov 2018)

Match won by Youssef Soliman. Result: 11-6,11-8,4-11,11-9.

Starting level for Youssef Soliman: 35,589, level confidence: 77%. Set manually.
Starting level for Cédric Kuchen: 21,086, level confidence: 78%. Set manually.
Youssef Soliman to win as he is currently playing 69% better than Cédric Kuchen.

Youssef Soliman won 75% of the games and 52% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 9% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Youssef Soliman played 20% better than Cédric Kuchen in this match.

As Youssef Soliman has played below his allowed range at 27,727, his level reduction is 9.9% before damping. On the assumption that Youssef Soliman would normally have been playing at level 32,930 (based on typical behaviour), Cédric Kuchen played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 14%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 7.5% and 10.8% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman changes to -7.5% and Cédric Kuchen changes to +10.7%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Youssef Soliman becomes -2% and for Cédric Kuchen becomes +2.9%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Swiss Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Youssef Soliman: 88%, Cédric Kuchen: 88%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Youssef Soliman: 74%, Cédric Kuchen: 74%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Youssef Soliman: 34,879, level confidence: 74%.
Final level for Cédric Kuchen: 21,772, level confidence: 74%.