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Saurav Ghosal v Mohammad Syafiq Kamal (Thu 08 Nov 2018)

Match won by Saurav Ghosal. Result: 11-9,11-7,11-1.

Starting level for Saurav Ghosal: 46,056, level confidence: 58%.
Starting level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 21,331, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Saurav Ghosal to win as he is currently playing 116% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal.

Saurav Ghosal won all of the games and 66% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 94% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Saurav Ghosal played 94% better than Mohammad Syafiq Kamal in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Saurav Ghosal was taking it easy by anything up to 14%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 33,717 and 46,056 without affecting his level.

In this case, Saurav Ghosal played at level 41,407 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Saurav Ghosal: 76%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Saurav Ghosal: 72%, Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 85%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Saurav Ghosal: 46,087, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Mohammad Syafiq Kamal: 21,429, level confidence: 85%.