SquashLevels calculations
Edmon Lopez Moller v Vladislav Titov (Wed 07 Nov 2018)
Match won by Edmon Lopez Moller. Result: 11-3,11-3,11-2.
Starting level for
Edmon Lopez Moller:
27,403, level confidence: 70%.
Starting level for
Vladislav Titov:
5,710, level confidence: 50%.
Edmon Lopez Moller to win as he is currently playing
380% better than Vladislav Titov.
Edmon Lopez Moller won all of the games and 80% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 313% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Edmon Lopez Moller played
313% better than Vladislav Titov in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Edmon Lopez Moller was taking it easy by anything up to 41%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 9,590 and 27,403 without affecting his level.
In this case, Edmon Lopez Moller played at level 23,554 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Vladislav Titov is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Edmon Lopez Moller: 83%, Vladislav Titov: 70%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Edmon Lopez Moller: 77%, Vladislav Titov: 65%.
Final level for Edmon Lopez Moller:
27,403, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Vladislav Titov:
5,710, level confidence: 65%.