SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Michael McLaughlin v Ben Hedger (Wed 07 Nov 2018)

Match won by Michael McLaughlin. Result: 6-11,11-7,11-8,11-7.

Starting level for Michael McLaughlin: 7,716, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Ben Hedger: 7,470, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Michael McLaughlin to win as he is currently playing 3% better than Ben Hedger.

Michael McLaughlin won 75% of the games and 54% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 18% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Michael McLaughlin played 23% better than Ben Hedger in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Michael McLaughlin actually played at a level of 8,411 and Ben Hedger at a level of 6,852. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 9% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin changes to +8.9% and Ben Hedger changes to -8.4%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin becomes +3.1% and for Ben Hedger becomes -3%.

Given Michael McLaughlin's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 10.3% has been applied to his level change.

Given Ben Hedger's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 9.5% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Buckinghamshire League' so the adjustment for Michael McLaughlin is +2.1% and for Ben Hedger is -2%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Michael McLaughlin: 84%, Ben Hedger: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Michael McLaughlin: 77%, Ben Hedger: 79%.

A final adjustment of +0.3% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Michael McLaughlin: 7,897, level confidence: 77%.
Final level for Ben Hedger: 7,339, level confidence: 79%.