SquashLevels calculations
Daryl Selby v Tim Vail (Wed 07 Nov 2018)
Match won by Daryl Selby. Result: 11-9,11-3,11-7.
Starting level for
Daryl Selby:
38,999, level confidence: 82%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Tim Vail:
21,486, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Daryl Selby to win as he is currently playing
82% better than Tim Vail.
Daryl Selby won all of the games and 63% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 74% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Daryl Selby played
74% better than Tim Vail in this match.
In this case, Daryl Selby played at level 37,318 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Tim Vail is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Daryl Selby: 91%, Tim Vail: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Daryl Selby: 89%, Tim Vail: 82%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Daryl Selby:
38,953, level confidence: 89%.
Final level for Tim Vail:
21,461, level confidence: 82%.