SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Tarek Momen v James Willstrop (Tue 30 Oct 2018)

Match won by Tarek Momen. Result: 7-11,11-0,11-1,11-7.

Starting level for Tarek Momen: 56,865, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for James Willstrop: 39,893, level confidence: 70%. Set manually.
Tarek Momen to win as he is currently playing 43% better than James Willstrop.

Tarek Momen won 75% of the games and 68% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 111% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Tarek Momen played 53% better than James Willstrop in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Tarek Momen actually played at a level of 58,957 and James Willstrop at a level of 38,478. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 3.7% to match this result.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 3.1% and 3.1% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Tarek Momen changes to +2.8% and James Willstrop changes to -3.1%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Tarek Momen becomes +1% and for James Willstrop becomes -1.2%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Qatar Classic' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Tarek Momen: 87%, James Willstrop: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Tarek Momen: 84%, James Willstrop: 81%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tarek Momen: 57,072, level confidence: 84%.
Final level for James Willstrop: 39,837, level confidence: 81%.