SquashLevels calculations
Youssef Soliman v Youssef Hisham (Mon 29 Oct 2018)
Match won by Youssef Soliman. Result: 11-4,11-1,11-2.
Starting level for
Youssef Soliman:
35,814, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Youssef Hisham:
6,317, level confidence: 52%.
Youssef Soliman to win as he is currently playing
467% better than Youssef Hisham.
Youssef Soliman won all of the games and 83% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 371% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Youssef Soliman played
371% better than Youssef Hisham in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Youssef Soliman was taking it easy by anything up to 46%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 10,529 and 35,814 without affecting his level.
In this case, Youssef Soliman played at level 29,780 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Youssef Hisham is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Youssef Soliman: 94%, Youssef Hisham: 72%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Youssef Soliman: 86%, Youssef Hisham: 65%.
Final level for Youssef Soliman:
35,814, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Youssef Hisham:
6,317, level confidence: 65%.