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Bernat Jaume v Jean-Pierre Brits (Wed 17 Oct 2018)

Match won by Bernat Jaume. Result: 9-11,11-4,11-3,12-10.

Starting level for Bernat Jaume: 27,233, level confidence: 72%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jean-Pierre Brits: 19,199, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Bernat Jaume to win as he is currently playing 42% better than Jean-Pierre Brits.

Bernat Jaume won 75% of the games and 61% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 25%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 54% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Bernat Jaume played 34% better than Jean-Pierre Brits in this match.

In this case, Bernat Jaume played at level 26,011 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Bernat Jaume would normally have been playing at level 26,214 (based on typical behaviour), Jean-Pierre Brits played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 0.8%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 0.7% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Bernat Jaume changes to 0% and Jean-Pierre Brits changes to +0.6%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Bernat Jaume becomes 0% and for Jean-Pierre Brits becomes 0%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Cleveland Skating Club Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Bernat Jaume: 85%, Jean-Pierre Brits: 86%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Bernat Jaume: 83%, Jean-Pierre Brits: 84%.

A final adjustment of +0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Bernat Jaume: 27,233, level confidence: 83%.
Final level for Jean-Pierre Brits: 19,253, level confidence: 84%.