SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Iker Pajares v Ben Coates (Wed 17 Oct 2018)

Match won by Iker Pajares. Result: 11-7,11-4,12-10.

Starting level for Iker Pajares: 30,229, level confidence: 69%.
Starting level for Ben Coates: 8,509, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Iker Pajares to win as he is currently playing 255% better than Ben Coates.

Iker Pajares won all of the games and 62% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 62% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Iker Pajares played 62% better than Ben Coates in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Iker Pajares was taking it easy by anything up to 30%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 14,737 and 30,229 without affecting his level.

As Iker Pajares has played below his allowed range at 14,249, his level reduction is 3.4% before damping. On the assumption that Iker Pajares would normally have been playing at level 21,107 (based on typical behaviour), Ben Coates played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 24%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 1.8% and 12% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Iker Pajares changes to -1.8% and Ben Coates changes to +10.9%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Iker Pajares becomes -0.7% and for Ben Coates becomes +3.5%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Chicago Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Iker Pajares: 83%, Ben Coates: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Iker Pajares: 56%, Ben Coates: 59%.

Final level for Iker Pajares: 30,012, level confidence: 56%.
Final level for Ben Coates: 8,807, level confidence: 59%.