SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Simon Rösner v Daryl Selby (Tue 09 Oct 2018)

Match won by Simon Rösner. Result: 7-11,11-5,11-6,9-11,11-3.

Starting level for Simon Rösner: 55,922, level confidence: 62%.
Starting level for Daryl Selby: 40,083, level confidence: 57%.
Simon Rösner to win as he is currently playing 40% better than Daryl Selby.

Simon Rösner won 60% of the games and 58% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 10%.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 36% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Simon Rösner played 17% better than Daryl Selby in this match.

As Simon Rösner has played below his allowed range at 49,351, his level reduction is 5.7% before damping. On the assumption that Simon Rösner would normally have been playing at level 53,999 (based on typical behaviour), Daryl Selby played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 7.5%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 4.8% and 6.3% respectively.

Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Simon Rösner changes to -4.4% and Daryl Selby changes to +6.3%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Simon Rösner becomes -1.3% and for Daryl Selby becomes +1.8%.

Apply match/event weighting of 100% for 'PSA Us Open' so the adjustment is unchanged.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Simon Rösner: 79%, Daryl Selby: 75%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Simon Rösner: 72%, Daryl Selby: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Simon Rösner: 55,091, level confidence: 72%.
Final level for Daryl Selby: 40,845, level confidence: 69%.