SquashLevels calculations
Max Lee v Amrit Magar (Wed 22 Aug 2018)
Match won by Max Lee. Result: 11-1,11-4,11-2.
Starting level for
Max Lee:
42,738, level confidence: 59%.
Starting level for
Amrit Magar:
4,313, level confidence: 10%.
Max Lee to win as he is currently playing
891% better than Amrit Magar.
Max Lee won all of the games and 83% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 371% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Max Lee played
371% better than Amrit Magar in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Max Lee was taking it easy by anything up to 59%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 7,189 and 42,738 without affecting his level.
In this case, Max Lee played at level 20,333 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Amrit Magar is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Max Lee: 77%, Amrit Magar: 32%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Max Lee: 53%, Amrit Magar: 22%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Max Lee:
42,674, level confidence: 53%.
Final level for Amrit Magar:
4,307, level confidence: 22%.