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Tom Lloyd v Jahangir Hussain (Wed 11 Jul 2018)

Match won by Jahangir Hussain. Result: 0-3.

Starting level for Tom Lloyd: 2,535, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for Jahangir Hussain: 4,600, level confidence: 89%. Set manually.
Jahangir Hussain to win as he is currently playing 81% better than Tom Lloyd.

Jahangir Hussain won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

In this case, Jahangir Hussain played at level 4,436 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Tom Lloyd is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jahangir Hussain: 94%, Tom Lloyd: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jahangir Hussain: 93%, Tom Lloyd: 86%.

A final adjustment of +0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Tom Lloyd: 2,539, level confidence: 86%.
Final level for Jahangir Hussain: 4,607, level confidence: 93%.