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Andy Piper v Alex Preston (Sat 12 May 2018)

Match won by Alex Preston. Result: 0-3.

Starting level for Andy Piper: 2,841, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for Alex Preston: 6,080, level confidence: 68%.
Alex Preston to win as he is currently playing 114% better than Andy Piper.

Alex Preston won all of the games. There are no points scores.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This result only has game scores. Less accurate but we can still work with it.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Alex Preston was taking it easy by anything up to 14%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 4,476 and 6,080 without affecting his level.

In this case, Alex Preston played at level 5,093 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. On the assumption that Alex Preston would normally have been playing at level 5,217 (based on typical behaviour), Andy Piper played better than expected and therefore gains a pre-damping level increase of 2.4%.

Allowing for the difference in level between the players, the adjustments have been reduced to 0% and 1.7% respectively.
Without points scores, the adjustment has been reduced to 0.9%.

As this result doesn't have points scores, the difference in levels is significant and the match was a straight games win, leave the levels unchanged. Provide points scores if you can!

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Alex Preston: 82%, Andy Piper: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Alex Preston: 74%, Andy Piper: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Andy Piper: 2,837, level confidence: 76%.
Final level for Alex Preston: 6,071, level confidence: 74%.