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Steven Davies v Mark Trew (Mon 09 Apr 2018)

Match won by Steven Davies. Result: 15-8,15-5,15-2.

Starting level for Steven Davies: 8,143, level confidence: 60%.
Starting level for Mark Trew: 2,269, level confidence: 70%.
Steven Davies to win as he is currently playing 259% better than Mark Trew.

Steven Davies won all of the games and 75% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 200% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steven Davies played 200% better than Mark Trew in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Steven Davies was taking it easy by anything up to 31%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 3,588 and 8,143 without affecting his level.

In this case, Steven Davies played at level 6,807 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Mark Trew is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steven Davies: 77%, Mark Trew: 84%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steven Davies: 71%, Mark Trew: 76%.

A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Steven Davies: 8,131, level confidence: 71%.
Final level for Mark Trew: 2,266, level confidence: 76%.