SquashLevels calculations
Keith Timms v Oliver Green (Thu 22 Feb 2018)
Match won by Keith Timms. Result: 14-12,11-3,11-8.
Starting level for
Keith Timms:
9,783, level confidence: 71%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Oliver Green:
6,051, level confidence: 68%.
Keith Timms to win as he is currently playing
62% better than Oliver Green.
Keith Timms won all of the games and 61% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 57% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Keith Timms played
56% better than Oliver Green in this match.
In this case, Keith Timms played at level 9,441 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Oliver Green is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Keith Timms: 84%, Oliver Green: 82%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Keith Timms: 82%, Oliver Green: 81%.
A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Keith Timms:
9,768, level confidence: 82%.
Final level for Oliver Green:
6,042, level confidence: 81%.