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Sean Davies v Steven Davies (Mon 19 Feb 2018)

Match won by Steven Davies. Result: 6-15,2-15,8-15.

Starting level for Sean Davies: 1,877, level confidence: 75%. Set manually.
Starting level for Steven Davies: 8,269, level confidence: 67%.
Steven Davies to win as he is currently playing 341% better than Sean Davies.

Steven Davies won all of the games and 74% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 181% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steven Davies played 181% better than Sean Davies in this match.

Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Steven Davies was taking it easy by anything up to 38%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 2,839 and 8,269 without affecting his level.

In this case, Steven Davies played at level 5,279 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Sean Davies is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steven Davies: 82%, Sean Davies: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steven Davies: 65%, Sean Davies: 69%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Sean Davies: 1,874, level confidence: 69%.
Final level for Steven Davies: 8,257, level confidence: 65%.