Clyde Finch v Steven Davies (Thu 22 Feb 2018)
Match won by Steven Davies. Result: 5-15,3-15,6-15.
Starting level for
Clyde Finch:
2,075, level confidence: 76%. Set manually.
Starting level for
Steven Davies:
8,259, level confidence: 64%.
Steven Davies to win as he is currently playing
298% better than Clyde Finch.
Steven Davies won all of the games and 76% of the points.
This
games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This
points result would be expected if he was better by around 221% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Steven Davies played
221% better than Clyde Finch in this match.
Due to the difference between the players' levels, allow for the likelihood that Steven Davies was taking it easy by anything up to 34%. This gives him an allowed level range for this match between 3,221 and 8,259 without affecting his level.
In this case, Steven Davies played at level 6,670 and remained within his allowed range so his level will not be adjusted. Consequently, Clyde Finch is considered to have not played better than expected and his level will also not be adjusted.
Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Steven Davies: 80%, Clyde Finch: 87%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Steven Davies: 72%, Clyde Finch: 78%.
A final adjustment of -0.1% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.
Final level for Clyde Finch:
2,074, level confidence: 78%.
Final level for Steven Davies:
8,253, level confidence: 72%.