SquashLevels
Find
Menu
Rankings
 
Help
 
 
 
cookies_acceptance
important
To give you the best experience, we use cookies to remember your settings and personalise your pages and social media. Please click Accept if you are happy for us to do this. To find out more about our use of cookies please see our cookie policy.
 

Jack Thomson v Jahangir Hussain (Wed 24 Jan 2018)

Match won by Jack Thomson. Result: 11-6,11-6,11-6.

Starting level for Jack Thomson: 5,777, level confidence: 55%.
Starting level for Jahangir Hussain: 4,710, level confidence: 79%. Set manually.
Jack Thomson to win as he is currently playing 23% better than Jahangir Hussain.

Jack Thomson won all of the games and 65% of the points.
This games result would be expected if he was better by around 55% or more.
This points result would be expected if he was better by around 83% (PAR scoring).
These are weighted and combined to calculate that Jack Thomson played 83% better than Jahangir Hussain in this match.

Assuming that any level changes are shared between both players, for this result it looks like Jack Thomson actually played at a level of 7,063 and Jahangir Hussain at a level of 3,852. Without any damping, both players would need to be adjusted by 22% to match this result.


Factoring in the relative levels of confidence which allows players with low confidence in their levels to change more quickly, the adjustment for Jack Thomson changes to +20% and Jahangir Hussain changes to -13%.

After applying standard match damping, the adjustment for Jack Thomson becomes +6.2% and for Jahangir Hussain becomes -4.7%.

Given Jack Thomson's level and the type of match played, an additional damping of 3.3% has been applied to his level change.

Apply match/event weighting of 75% for 'Surrey Winter League 2017/18' so the adjustment for Jack Thomson is +4.5% and for Jahangir Hussain is -3.5%.

Increase level confidence due to one more match played. Jack Thomson: 74%, Jahangir Hussain: 89%. Reduce level confidence based on how unexpected the result is. Jack Thomson: 61%, Jahangir Hussain: 73%.

A final adjustment of -0.2% has been made to both players as part of the automatic calibration that is performed after each match. All players in this pool will have been adjusted equally in order to remain equivalent to other player pools.

Final level for Jack Thomson: 6,027, level confidence: 61%.
Final level for Jahangir Hussain: 4,544, level confidence: 73%.